Folgore Caratese vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
0 - 1
FOL
63%
23%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PSM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PIA
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
CIS
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 1
VAR
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
INV
48%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
LEC
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |