Folgore Caratese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
18º
13º
47
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SON
2 - 0
FOL
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 4
ACL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
4 - 1
FOL
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
REN
15%
23%
63%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOL
48%
26%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VCB
4 - 3
ASD
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
VCB
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 1
CAL
43%
22%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
VCB
60%
19%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
VCB
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |