Folgore Caratese vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 1
FOL
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
0 - 1
FOL
63%
23%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PSM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
SON
0 - 1
CIS
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SON
0 - 2
INV
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
SON
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SON
2 - 4
LEC
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |