Folgore Caratese vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
FOL
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PAV
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARC
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 2
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
GOZ
16%
25%
59%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 1
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SER
3 - 4
INV
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
SER
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
MAN
25%
27%
48%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |