Folgore Caratese vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
GOZ
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
LAV
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOL
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
OLG
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
OLG
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SCA
4 - 0
OLG
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
OLG
1 - 2
GSD
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLG
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |