Folgore Caratese vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
CUN
2 - 2
FOL
62%
23%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BUS
3 - 1
FOL
25%
24%
50%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
ASD
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GOZ
0 - 2
FOL
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
INV
1 - 1
VER
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 3
INV
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
INV
3 - 1
GOZ
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 2
INV
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
INV
0 - 1
VAR
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |