Folgore Caratese vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
VBE
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
FOL
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 3
INV
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
INV
2 - 0
GRU
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
INV
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
INV
4 - 2
LEC
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
3 - 1
INV
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |