Folgore Caratese vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
FOL
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
INV
1 - 3
FOL
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
LEC
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 1
PON
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
BUS
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SON
0 - 1
GRU
22%
21%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 1
INV
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OLG
4 - 2
GRU
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |