Folgore Caratese vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
INV
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
FOL
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 2
BOR
69%
17%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
2 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 5
GOZ
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
CRE
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
OLG
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 0
ASD
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |