Folgore Caratese vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SON
0 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
FOL
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
OLG
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
4 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 3
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 1
FIO
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |