Folgore Caratese vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
OLG
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
GOZ
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 2
ARC
56%
22%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 1
CRE
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SON
1 - 0
CRE
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 2
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 2
SON
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |