Folgore Caratese vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 3
ADR
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
3 - 1
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
CRE
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |