Folgore Caratese vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOL
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
COM
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
51%
25%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
5 - 0
SER
60%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
GOZ
13%
24%
63%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
5 - 1
CAS
95%
4%
1%
|
31 | 84 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
INV
22%
22%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |