Folgore Caratese vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOL
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
PIN
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VOG
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VER
0 - 1
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASD
41%
23%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |