Folgore Caratese vs Bustese Milano City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
FOL
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
OLG
28%
27%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
4 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 3
ASS
15%
25%
60%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOL
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 0
LEC
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 1
BUS
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 2
SER
22%
21%
58%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
BUS
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 3
PRO
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |