Folgore Caratese vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
GOZ
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
LAV
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOL
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
5 - 1
ALC
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 88 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALC
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RON
3 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |