Folgore Caratese vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
PAR
6%
14%
80%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
COM
12%
21%
67%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 1
FOL
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
OLG
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 2
CRE
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
5 - 2
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
OLG
4 - 3
PRO
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 1
FOL
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |