Folgore Caratese vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
60.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOL
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 2
FOL
16%
26%
58%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
SON
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 2
LEC
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 1
ASS
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ASS
6 - 3
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASS
51%
25%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |