Fola Esch vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 3
FOL
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 3
TPE
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SWI
4 - 1
FOL
72%
16%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
FOL
43%
24%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 1
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 3
PRO
16%
19%
66%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 1
PRO
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 1
PRO
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
TPE
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |