Farsta vs Nacka Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
33
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 35 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farsta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KIF
2 - 1
FOF
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FOF
0 - 0
ASI
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NYK
0 - 0
FOF
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ASI
2 - 5
FOF
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -5 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FOF
2 - 3
NYK
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacka Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 1
SLE
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 1
NAI
91%
6%
2%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ESK
0 - 2
NAI
93%
6%
2%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2020 |
NAI
7 - 0
ASS
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | +3 |