FNQ Heat vs Western Pride analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 2
FRE
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 3
FNQ
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 5
OLY
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SWQ
2 - 0
FNQ
11%
15%
74%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -3 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
FNQ
2 - 0
MOR
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Western Pride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 3
WES
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 1
WES
59%
19%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
OLY
22%
18%
61%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SWQ
1 - 5
WES
43%
21%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
WES
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |