FNQ Heat vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
85.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
FNQ
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FNQ
0 - 6
QUE
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WES
2 - 0
FNQ
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FNQ
4 - 0
ARM
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MAG
3 - 1
FNQ
15%
17%
69%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 4
SYD
6%
13%
81%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
0 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -6 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
3 - 0
ADE
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |