FNQ Heat vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
FNQ
44%
21%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 1
FNQ
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FNQ
2 - 0
RED
45%
21%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FNQ
0 - 3
EDG
26%
23%
52%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -3 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BRR
0 - 1
FNQ
35%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WES
3 - 0
SWQ
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 4
SWQ
56%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SWQ
0 - 1
OLY
17%
16%
67%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SWQ
0 - 5
PAL
19%
19%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
SWQ
76%
13%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |