FNQ Heat vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BRR
2 - 3
FNQ
29%
21%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 2
SUN
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 3
PAL
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FNQ
2 - 3
SWQ
68%
16%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 2
FNQ
6%
14%
81%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
RED
2 - 0
PAL
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RED
4 - 4
SWQ
57%
18%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
RED
2 - 6
MOR
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LOG
5 - 1
RED
45%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BRR
2 - 2
RED
18%
18%
65%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |