FNQ Heat vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FNQ
0 - 3
EDG
26%
23%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BRR
0 - 1
FNQ
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FNQ
1 - 1
BRI
68%
16%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
NOF
0 - 5
FNQ
12%
16%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
FNQ
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
WES
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
RED
0 - 1
BRI
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
RED
2 - 3
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 2
RED
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
RED
4 - 3
SWQ
85%
9%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |