FNQ Heat vs Northern Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
FNQ
2 - 2
OLY
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 5
FNQ
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 3
FNQ
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
RED
2 - 6
FNQ
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FNQ
5 - 3
MAG
72%
15%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
NOF
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NOF
0 - 1
SWQ
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
NOF
2 - 3
MOR
8%
15%
77%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
NOF
0 - 6
QUE
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
WES
3 - 1
NOF
93%
6%
2%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |