FNQ Heat vs Northern Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 1
FNQ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SWQ
1 - 3
FNQ
19%
19%
63%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FNQ
3 - 0
SUN
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 1
FNQ
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FNQ
3 - 1
RED
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
NOF
1 - 2
MOR
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 1
NOF
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAO
1 - 3
NOF
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
7 - 1
NOF
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NOF
0 - 2
PAL
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |