FNQ Heat vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FNQ
5 - 1
NOF
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FNQ
2 - 0
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RED
2 - 0
FNQ
62%
17%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FNQ
2 - 1
BRR
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
FNQ
24%
20%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
WES
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
MOR
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 6
MOR
50%
20%
29%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SWQ
2 - 0
MOR
12%
17%
72%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | -3 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 1
MOR
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |