FNQ Heat vs Brisbane Roar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 2
FNQ
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
FNQ
6 - 1
MFP
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FNQ
6 - 0
NOF
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 1
FNQ
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SWQ
1 - 3
FNQ
19%
19%
63%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BRR
1 - 5
MOR
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
WES
6 - 0
BRR
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BRR
0 - 4
OLY
17%
16%
67%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RED
0 - 3
BRR
77%
13%
10%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BRR
0 - 5
BRI
15%
17%
69%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |