FNQ Heat vs Armadale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MAG
3 - 1
FNQ
15%
17%
69%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FNQ
0 - 2
BRI
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 3
NOF
90%
7%
2%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
FNQ
2 - 2
OLY
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 5
FNQ
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Armadale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SUB
2 - 4
ARM
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 3
ECU
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ARM
5 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ARM
4 - 1
BAY
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ING
3 - 2
ARM
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |