FMD Zafra Sub 19 vs Moralo CP U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+321%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
18º
10º
26
12º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 65 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 64 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 60 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 59 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 56 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 55 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 46 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 32 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
37% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
17º
|
53% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FMD Zafra Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ZAF
1 - 0
MER
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EFE
0 - 7
ZAF
28%
21%
52%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZAF
1 - 0
CPA
19%
19%
62%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ZAF
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ZAF
2 - 0
LCV
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Moralo CP U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 6
MOR
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
DBN
2 - 0
MOR
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
UPP
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FDC
2 - 0
MOR
38%
21%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |