Fluminense SC vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
FFC
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FFC
2 - 5
POR
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PBE
1 - 1
FFC
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 4
IMB
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
TUB
34%
23%
44%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GIO
4 - 2
JAR
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JAR
3 - 4
ANA
11%
21%
68%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 1
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
COE
4 - 0
JAR
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |