Fluminense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
FLU
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VIT
5 - 1
FLA
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 1
SCI
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 1
FFL
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 2
VIT
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |