Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLU
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
PAL
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 3
CRZ
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 1
ATP
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |