Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLU
13%
22%
64%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 3
FLU
14%
22%
65%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BAN
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 4
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
FRI
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 1
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 2
VAS
14%
21%
65%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |