Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 2
FLU
9%
17%
75%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
RES
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
MAD
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
3 - 1
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
IFC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
12%
18%
70%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 1
DUQ
89%
8%
3%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 4
VAS
9%
17%
75%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VAS
0 - 2
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |