Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 1
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
FLU
1 - 1
GOI
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 1
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
3 - 2
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 1
SAO
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
7 - 2
VAS
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 3
COR
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 3
VAS
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |