Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 3
FLU
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 2
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 3
ECN
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |