Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 1
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
SPO
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
3 - 1
SCI
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
VAS
54%
21%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 2
COR
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |