Série A Final
Global 1-0
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1984 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
COR
0 - 2
FLU
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
FLU
5 - 0
COT
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
COT
2 - 2
FLU
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1984 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
VAS
3 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
VAS
4 - 3
POR
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1984 |
POR
2 - 5
VAS
46%
28%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |