Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-1
Fluminense vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOA
82%
14%
4%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 5
FLU
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 0
POR
84%
13%
3%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAB
0 - 1
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ULC
1 - 0
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
OHI
1 - 2
ULC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 0
ULC
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 0
UCO
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 0
ULC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |