Fluminense vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 0
FLU
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 2
FLU
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
FFL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 2
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
COR
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |