Fluminense vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 2
COR
44%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
FLU
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 3
GOI
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
COR
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
86%
12%
2%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |