Fluminense vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 2
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 3
FLU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
PPE
3 - 0
FLU
27%
23%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 4
GRE
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CRZ
3 - 3
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |