Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-0
Fluminense vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
CCP
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLU
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
FLU
21%
26%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 2
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
FLU
18%
25%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAM
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
FLU
18%
25%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
FFL
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
APA
2 - 0
SAM
30%
30%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |