Fluminense vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
AUD
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
FLU
15%
24%
62%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOA
89%
9%
2%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
VOL
24%
24%
53%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 1
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |