Fluminense vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLU
61%
21%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 0
COT
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
PPE
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 0
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 1
PPE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ATM
4 - 0
PPE
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |