Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 4-2
Fluminense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLU
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
FLU
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 1
OES
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
PAY
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 1
MOG
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
AMF
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |