Fluminense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLU
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 0
FLU
47%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAY
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 2
PPE
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAY
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 2
COR
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |