Fluminense vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 3
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 0
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FLU
4 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
5 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAM
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 3
PAR
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |